Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Progreso

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.17	2.75	3.4	Watch
	2.33	2.9	3.85
	2.26	2.86	3.65	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.5
	2.21	2.99	3.55	Watch
	2.17	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	3.53 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
41.5%

Draw
32.3%

Progreso
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Cerro Largo - Progreso Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Santilli G. (G) 17. Garcia A. 2. Parada F. 21. Alfonso M. 6. Bonifazi F. 22. Bertocchi N. 7. Contrera J. 15. Assis S. (C) 10. Otormin L. 27. Medina F. 9. Rossi F.	33. Suarez N. (G) 17. Poiso J. 15. Maldonado L. (C) 3. Ruan Marvyn 6. Silvera F. 5. Pinheiro A. 7. Moreira A. 18. Silva G. 21. Rivero J. 29. Fernandez N. 9. Gonzalez N.
Substitutes
29. Affonso M. 11. Anasco M. 14. Correa L. 5. Di Pippa A. 30. Hernandez B. 8. Mir M. 16. Olivera E. 13. Peraza F. 26. Perez Tica J. 1. Pintado F. (G)	19. Caicedo L. 13. Carroso H. 22. Fernandez E. 25. Garcia A. 11. Garcia M. 1. Gentilio N. (G) 4. Martin M. 30. Perez K. 14. Silva G. 16. Trasante G.
Coaches
Nunez D.	Mendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Medina F. ⚽,
11', Ruan Marvyn 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Otormin L. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Contrera J. ⚽, Medina F. (A),
42', Silvera F. 🟨,
45+2', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silvera F. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
46', Moreira A. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
46', Ruan Marvyn ↓, Martin M. ↑,
46', Silva G. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Maldonado L. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Bertocchi N. (Pen),
60', Medina F. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
60', Rossi F. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
60', Bertocchi N. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
66', Otormin L. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
77', Contrera J. ↓, Mir M. ↑,
83', Rivero J. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
85', Peraza F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 4.

Cerro Largo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Largo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.01.25	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Cerro Largo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Cerro Largo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	3:0 ✺
18.11.24	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWWW
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.02.25	Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.25	Belgrano - Progreso	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Cerro Largo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:5 ✺
18.11.24	Progreso - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Cerro Largo - Progreso	2:1
04.06.24	Progreso - Cerro Largo	0:1
17.10.21	Cerro Largo - Progreso	1:0
19.06.21	Progreso - Cerro Largo	0:0
14.03.21	Cerro Largo - Progreso	1:0
29.11.20	Progreso - Cerro Largo	2:2
12.09.20	Progreso - Cerro Largo	1:2

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