Match Info
Copa Uruguay - Round 2Date: 9 September 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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 |
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Cerro Largo |
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Defensor Sporting |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.85 |
2.80 |
2.40 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.70 |
2.60 |
|
 |
3 |
2.95 |
2.53 |
|
 |
2.95 |
2.86 |
2.51 |
 Watch |
 |
2.95 |
2.75 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.96 |
2.76 |
2.49 |
Watch |
 |
2.85 |
2.75 |
2.46 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.82) |
2.8 ↓
(2.98) |
2.49 ↓
(2.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cerro Largo
31.2% | Draw
32.4% | Defensor Sporting
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+2%)Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Segovia A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Neris J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.Both teams are currently in poor form.Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 22.08.26 | Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting | 1:1 | | 13.07.26 | Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting | 1:1 | | 20.02.26 | Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo | 1:0 | | 13.09.25 | Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting | 1:0 | | 24.05.25 | Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo | 3:2 | | 22.03.25 | Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo | 0:0 | | 27.11.24 | Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting | 3:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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