Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Progreso		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.7	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.76	3.16	2.78
	2.72	3.07	2.69	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.73	3.08	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.53)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	2.63 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
34.6%

Draw
29.9%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Progreso - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castro M. (G) 22. Gonzalez J. 2. Gomez N. 15. Martin M. 6. Silvera F. 7. Moreira A. 8. Colombino A. 16. Caballero P. 25. Garcia A. 11. Colman G. 19. Sequeira H.	33. Requena A. (G) 24. Alvez J. (C) 16. Guisolfo B. 22. Da Silveira A. 20. Chopitea R. 7. Fernandez W. 21. Viera S. 8. Breno Caetano 27. Cachi M. 9. Da Silva S. 19. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
27. Albano N. 9. Alles G. 21. Barreto G. 29. Fernandez N. 20. Garcia M. 30. Hernandez Alvarez B. J. 4. Izquierdo R. 10. Lemmo I. 3. Marta M. 33. Suarez N. (G)	14. Alfaro A. 17. Cortelezzi S. 40. De Leon F. 11. Estoyanoff F. 29. Franca S. 32. Hernandez R. 25. Marquez E. (G) 4. Perg M. 5. Schetino A. 6. Scotto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Colman G. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
18', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
38', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Juambeltz M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
46', Fernandez W. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
46', Breno Caetano ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Da Silva S. ⚽, Guisolfo B. (A),
55', Cachi M. 🟨,
57', Caballero P. ↓, Alles G. ↑,
65', Garcia A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
65', Sequeira H. ↓, Hernandez Alvarez B. J. ↑,
67', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
70', Colombino A. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
71', Guisolfo B. 🟨,
83', Gomez N. 🟨,
90', Marquez E. 🟥,
90', Colombino A. 🟥,
90+2', Requena A. 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez N. 🟨,
90+3', Da Silva S. ↓, Perg M. ↑,
90+3', Cachi M. ↓, Scotto S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Colman G. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:13 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.11.24	Defensor Sporting - Progreso	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Boston River - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.11.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:6 ✺
10.11.24	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
27.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1
18.05.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:0
04.11.21	Progreso - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
11.07.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	2:1
02.02.21	Progreso - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1
08.08.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1
16.11.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:2

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