Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Cerro Porteño		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.75
	1.38	4.6	8.5
	1.37	4.72	9.05
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.38	4.6	8.7	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)	8 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
67.5%

Draw
20.9%

Curicó Unido
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Cerro Porteño - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Cerro Porteño is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Curicó Unido is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Curicó Unido have a series of home games.

In this match Cerro Porteño is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cerro Porteño to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.23	Curicó Unido - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.02.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWTW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
24.02.23	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.23	Curicó Unido - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.02.23	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Unión La Calera - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
03.02.23	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
21.02.23	Curicó Unido - Cerro Porteño	0:1

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