Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Cerro Porteño		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.3	5	8.5	Watch
	1.36	5.34	8.52
	1.36	5.34	8.53
	1.35	4.6	7
	1.33	4.95	7.7
	1.3	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	5.06 ↑ (4.93)	7.88 ↑ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
69.8%

Draw
18.4%

Resistencia
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.7%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Resistencia aligns with the current prediction.

Cerro Porteño - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jean (G) 21. Arzamendia S. 35. De Jesus R. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 2. Benitez A. 6. Carrascal R. 16. Bobadilla D. 20. Viera W. 8. Carrizo F. 10. Dominguez C. 19. Diego Churin (C)	23. Rhuan (G) 16. Moreira J. (C) 2. Villalva A. 26. Adorno P. 19. Benitez M. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 11. Lezcano H. 24. Diaz E. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 27. Pacheco W.
Substitutes
4. Eduardo Brock 7. Gimenez E. 12. Martinez M. (G) 5. Morel J. 30. Nunez A. 23. Oviedo A. 9. Romero F.	35. Acevedo E. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 28. Benitez A. 32. Colman J. 30. Da Silva N. 10. Jorge Nunez 3. Ruan
Coaches
Bernay V.	Recalde C.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerro Porteño is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.23	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.09.23	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.09.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	1:4 ✺
17.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.10.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
02.10.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1
07.05.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	1:2
24.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:1
07.11.22	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:0
09.09.22	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:2
14.06.22	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:0
19.03.22	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:3

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