Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 22

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Luqueño		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.92	3.2	2.28	Watch
	2.99	3.4	2.16
	2.95	2.93	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	3.47	3.2	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (4.57)	3.16 ↓ (3.69)	2.31 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
31.3%

Draw
29%

Olimpia Asuncion
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.3%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Luqueño's performance.

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Luqueño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Olimpia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (G) 5. Villalba A. 26. Diaz J. 6. Wiechniak F. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 14. Benitez F. 37. Comas L. (C) 8. Bogado G. 18. Quintana S. 25. Ramos J. 20. Maggi I.	25. Lentinelly S. (G) 21. Olmedo C. 22. Vera J. 2. Bentaberry B. 33. Ramirez L. 39. Abreu L. 32. Ledesma A. 19. Lezcano R. 35. Alfonso F. 11. Ferreira S. (C) 37. Benitez R.
Substitutes
16. Benitez A. 33. Britez J. 3. Brizuela A. 10. Diaz S. 30. Franco T. 9. Gonzalez W. 1. Mongelos F. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 27. Ojeda M. 35. Pereira A. 2. Riveros P. 11. Ruiz O.	5. Alfaro J. F. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 27. Caceres R. 7. Cardozo F. 20. Delmas E. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 15. Gamarra M. 10. Gonzalez D. 1. Olveira G. (G) 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 36. Ruiz C. 9. Sandoval H.
Coaches
Lopez R.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ramos J. ⚽,
35', Ramos J. 🟨,
41', Quintana S. 🟨,
43', Benitez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ramirez L. ↓, Rodriguez Armoa A. F. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Vera J. ⚽,
60', Villalba A. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
63', Diaz J. 🟨,
66', Ledesma A. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
66', Ferreira S. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
66', Olmedo C. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
67', Bogado G. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
67', Ramos J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
67', Comas L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
79', Lezcano R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
82', Quintana S. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Alfonso F. ⚽, Benitez R. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Olimpia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 0.

Recent performances by Sportivo Luqueño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:45. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	13	8	2	3	22:10	12	26
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 4.57 are the expected chance of winning is 20.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTWL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Barracas Central - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0
21.11.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:4
30.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0
19.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1
09.02.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
28.11.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
15.09.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	4:3

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