Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Cerro Porteño		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.32	4.5	7.75
	1.33	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.85	8.68
	1.37	4.6	8.64	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.43	4.85	6.14	Watch
	1.33	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	4.69 ↑ (4.44)	8.03 ↑ (7.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
68.8%

Draw
19.7%

Tacuary
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

13.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacuary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Tacuary Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jean (G) 2. Benitez A. 5. Morel J. 35. De Jesus R. 37. Leon D. 21. Araujo S. 26. Piris R. 15. Melgarejo R. 17. Aguayo G. 19. Diego Churin (C) 40. Fernandez F.	12. Bareiro A. (G) 34. Arguello M. 5. Caceres M. (C) 13. Espinoza P. 24. Samudio M. 15. Juan Gauto 6. Paredes M. 3. Jean Mangabeira 11. Brizuela F. 26. Fernandez D. 25. Lezcano D.
Substitutes
24. Baez C. 6. Carrascal R. 8. Carrizo F. 9. Da Costa F. 4. Eduardo Brock 28. Farina A. 7. Gimenez E. 1. Martin A. (G) 30. Nunez A. 36. Olmedo L. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 22. Rodriguez D.	33. Caceres L. 7. Camacho N. 10. Colman O. 2. Fernandez A. 27. Medina G. 17. Morinigo N. 36. Nunez M. 20. Riveros L. 21. Romero L. 18. Servin J. 22. Uran C. (G) 9. Verdun J.
Coaches
Jara C.	Vera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lezcano D. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
46', Juan Gauto ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
53', Aguayo G. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Brizuela F. (A),
63', Araujo S. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
64', Diego Churin ↓, Da Costa F. ↑,
64', Aguayo G. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
64', Fernandez F. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
64', Brizuela F. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
72', Espinoza P. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
75', Piris R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
77', Fernandez D. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
82', Jean Mangabeira 🟨,
84', Fernandez A. 🟨,
87', Samudio M. 🟨,
90+4', Benitez A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 2.

Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacuary has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cerro Porteño is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:9 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:3 (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
09.10.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.10.24	Tacuary - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	2 de Mayo - Tacuary	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	0:1
25.05.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:3
09.03.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	0:1
12.11.23	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:1
02.09.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:1
11.06.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	2:2
09.04.23	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:0

Upcoming Matches