Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Cesena		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	6	Watch
	1.4	3.75	6.75
	1.45	3.7	6.8
	1.41	3.96	8.81
	1.42	3.5	8
	1.48	3.65	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	3.71 ↑ (3.53)	7.33 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
63.1%

Draw
24.5%

Grosseto
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

16%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cesena - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Cesena is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cesena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.22	Modena - Cesena	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Cesena - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Cesena - Olbia	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Cesena - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Gubbio - Cesena	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWTL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
06.02.22	Grosseto - Fermana	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Grosseto - Pistoiese	6:1 ✺
30.01.22	Gubbio - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Grosseto - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Modena - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.21	Grosseto - Cesena	0:1
Italian Serie B
23.03.13	Grosseto - Cesena	1:2
30.10.12	Cesena - Grosseto	3:2

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