Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Gubbio		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.48	3.78	7.41
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.49	3.8	6.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	6.33 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
60.5%

Draw
25.2%

Grosseto
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.6%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Gubbio - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grosseto is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.22	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	4:0 ✺
22.12.21	Gubbio - Cesena	4:1 ✺
19.12.21	Gubbio - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Modena - Gubbio	3:2 ✺
05.12.21	Pistoiese - Gubbio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.22	Grosseto - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Modena - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Grosseto - Olbia	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Grosseto - Pescara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.09.21	Grosseto - Gubbio	1:1
09.05.15	Grosseto - Gubbio	2:3
06.01.15	Gubbio - Grosseto	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
02.02.14	Grosseto - Gubbio	1:2
16.10.13	Gubbio - Grosseto	0:1

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