Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.38	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.41	3.08	3.08	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.48	3.03	3.14	Watch
	2.5	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.69)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	3.04 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
38.3%

Draw
31%

Cesena
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

31.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Catanzaro - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cesena (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Petriccione J. 80. Cisse A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 8. Pittarello F.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 19. Zaro G. 15. Ciofi A. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 25. Bisoli D. 70. Francesconi M. 99. Frabotta G. 29. Balde S. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 18. Bettella D. 98. Buglio D. 45. Buso N. 17. Di Chiara G. 62. Frosinini R. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 7. Pandolfi L. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.	16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 43. Bertaccini F. 7. Blesa J. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 1. Siano A. (G)
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Petriccione J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽,
42', Zaro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Bisoli D. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Pittarello F. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
55', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
55', Balde S. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
55', Zaro G. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
62', Petriccione J. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
63', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
73', Cassandro T. 🟨,
73', Bisoli D. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
77', Cisse A. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
77', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
81', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
86', Frosinini R. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Catanzaro is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cesena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Buglio D. (Inactive) Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Oudin R. (Inactive) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury) Seha S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cesena: Adamo E. (Yellow Cards) Bastoni S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cesena: Castagnetti M. (Injury) Guidi M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Cesena - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.87%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
19.12.25	Bari - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Catanzaro - Avellino	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Modena - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Catanzaro - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Catanzaro - Pescara	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cesena - Mantova	3:2 ✺
08.12.25	Padova - Cesena	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Cesena - Modena	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.05.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	1:0
01.02.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	4:2
28.08.24	Cesena - Catanzaro	2:0

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