Match Info

Serie B - Round 38

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Cesena

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.78
	4.7	3.5	1.74	Watch
	5.3	3.55	1.77
	4.99	3.57	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.8
	4.87	3.54	1.77	Watch
	4.7	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.78)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
19.5%

Draw
26.8%

Cesena
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

25.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	7%	87.7%

Nuova Cosenza - Cesena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cesena (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cosenza (3.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cesena (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cesena (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cesena will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 2 - 5.7%). Cesena (votes: 32 - 91.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 29. Sgarbi F. 55. Hristov A. 15. Dalle Mura C. 2. Cimino B. 9. Artistico G. 5. Gargiulo M. (C) 31. Ricci G. 28. Kouan C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 20. Rizzo Pinna A.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ceesay J. 35. Calo G. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 8. Saric D. 70. Francesconi M. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 17. Caporale A. 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 41. Contiero L. 18. Cruz J. M. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 36. Novello J. 16. Ricciardi M. 23. Venturi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)	17. Adamo E. 23. Antonucci M. 14. Berti T. 92. Coveri V. 7. Donnarumma D. 27. La Gumina A. 5. Mendicino L. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 93. Siano A. (G) 20. Tavsan E.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bastoni S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bastoni S. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
51', Saric D. 🟨,
57', Cimino B. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
57', Artistico G. ↓, Novello J. ↑,
57', Micai A. ↓, Vettorel T. ↑,
65', Saric D. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
67', Ricci G. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
73', Calo G. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
77', Sgarbi F. 🟨,
78', Kourfalidis C. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
89', Ceesay J. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
89', Shpendi C. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
90+3', Francesconi M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Cosenza is Relegated to

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Cesena is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cosenza: Charlys (Inactive) Florenzi A. (Red Card) Garritano L. (Calf Injury) Martino P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cesena: La Gumina A. (Inactive) Russo F. (Inactive) Tavsan E. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cosenza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
04.05.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
04.05.25	Cesena - Palermo	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	Cesena - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Cesena - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1

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