Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.06	2.95	3.5
	2.13	3.1	3.79
	2.07	3.05	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.22	3.55
	2.06	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.25)	3.04 ↑ (2.76)	3.55 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
44.1%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Madrid B
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 23. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 20. Escudero A. 5. Bellotti M. 3. Youness 10. Rodriguez C. 22. Kone K. 11. Aquino D.	1. Iturbe A. (G) 23. Gimenez C. 2. Pascual M. 15. Martinez D. 12. Spina G. 22. Perez P. 6. Serrano J. 18. Diallo Selu M. 7. Bri D. 24. Garces B. 9. Nino A.
Substitutes
28. Aniekan B. 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 19. Jamelli 21. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 13. Vallejo G. (G)	4. Bonar J. 3. Diaz J. 25. Esquivel S. (G) 32. Fall S. 21. Garcia A. 14. Gonzalez J. 27. Janneh O. 17. Luque I. 26. Monserrate J. 28. Munoz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Youness 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽,
54', Spina G. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽,
65', Nino A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
65', Serrano J. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
65', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Bonar J. ↑,
72', Aquino D. ↓, Jamelli ↑,
72', Kone K. ↓, Aniekan B. ↑,
72', Youness ↓, Rodri ↑,
74', Garces B. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
83', Spina G. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
89', Hernandez C. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

Ceuta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
13.12.24	Antequera - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWT
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.10.24	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:1
18.05.24	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	4:0
10.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:3

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