Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Ceuta		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.82	2.65	Watch
	2.88	3.05	2.48
	2.92	3.11	2.71
	2.98	3.09	2.54	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.63
	2.9	2.93	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.92)	2.98 ↓ (3.37)	2.62 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
32.6%

Draw
31.5%

Deportivo A Coruña
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ceuta (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Deportivo (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (C) 2. Sanchez M. 4. Caparros A. 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 14. Bodiger Y. 12. Illescas M. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Loureiro M. 3. Comas A. 12. Quagliata G. 2. Altimira A. 21. Soriano M. 8. Villares D. (C) 22. Stoichkov 19. Cruz Luismi 32. Nsongo B.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 34. Betancourt A. 24. Cantero Y. 18. de la Fuente K. 32. Gonzalez S. 6. Hernandez C. 30. Josema 10. Rodriguez C. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G) 5. Youness	5. Barcia D. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 18. Escudero S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 7. Mulattieri S. 4. Noubi L. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 14. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Romero J.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Nsongo B. ⚽, Stoichkov (A),
32', Altimira A. 🟨,
36', Matos Jose 🟨,
37', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
37', Quagliata G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sanchez M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
46', Loureiro M. ↓, Noubi L. ↑,
65', Nsongo B. 🟨,
73', Bodiger Y. ↓, Youness ↑,
77', Stoichkov ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
77', Nsongo B. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
85', Navarro X. ↓, Barcia D. ↑,
85', Ahmed A. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
85', Illescas M. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
87', Barcia D. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Altimira A. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Rodriguez C. (Illness) Sanchez S. (Illness) Zalazar K. (Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Hernandez Y. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Las Palmas - Ceuta	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mirandés - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ceuta - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Ceuta - Granada	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Huesca - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Granada	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	1:0
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2

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