Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Las Palmas		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.8
	1.58	3.7	5.7	Watch
	1.64	3.85	6.15
	1.58	3.9	6.14	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.86	5.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.75 ↓ (3.83)	5.68 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
58.5%

Draw
25%

Ceuta
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Las Palmas - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ceuta (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 15. Herzog J. 3. Marmol M. 23. Gutierrez C. 14. Fuster M. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 18. Miyashiro T. 10. Jese 21. Viera J. (C)	1. Lopez P. (C) 6. Hernandez C. 5. Youness 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 16. Redruello Nimo C. 12. Illescas M. 19. Jamelli 18. de la Fuente K. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 7. Benedetti N. 13. Caro J. (G) 22. Garcia A. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 39. Pedrola E. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 19. Ramirez S. 20. Rodriguez K. 35. Suarez A. (G)	17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 31. Dominguez C. 32. Gonzalez S. 28. Peri (G) 2. Sanchez M. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G)
Coaches
Garcia L.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Fuster M. ⚽, Loiodice E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Gutierrez C. (A),
62', Illescas M. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
62', Youness ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
63', Amatucci L. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Schor I. 🟨,
64', de la Fuente K. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Viera J. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Viera J. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
72', Fuster M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
72', Gutierrez C. ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
76', Jese ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
81', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
82', Jamelli ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Las Palmas is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.26	Leonesa - Las Palmas	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.26	Mirandés - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ceuta - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Ceuta - Granada	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Huesca - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1

Upcoming Matches