Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Ceuta		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.25	2.95	3.4
	2.33	3.05	3.57
	2.33	2.82	3.57
	2.32	3	3.51
	2.27	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	3.36 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
40.7%

Draw
31.6%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

33.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 5. Lolo Gonzalez 20. Danese F. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 2. Rodriguez F. 7. Ahmed A. 12. Uche C. U. 8. Melendez A. 3. Rodriguez C. 22. Teguia C. 9. Rodri	13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 22. Jardi J. 6. Gorostidi A. 14. Sanz O. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P. 29. Godoy A.
Substitutes
4. Caparros A. 15. Doncel C. 18. El Ftouhi S. 6. Erimuya S. 11. Garcia P. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Iglesias J. 21. Jota 14. Rico M. 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)	23. Concha D. 5. Dufur U. 10. Escudero A. 18. Martinez B. 8. Montalvo M. 15. Mula A. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Godoy A. ⚽,
62', Uche C. U. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
75', Rodriguez C. 🟥,
75', Lolo Gonzalez 🟨,
79', Rodri 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Gorostidi A. ⚽,
90+3', Oriol J. 🟨,
90+3', Garcia A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ceuta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnàstic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
18.05.24	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	4:0 ✺
12.05.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Ceuta - Antequera	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Real Murcia - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTL

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