Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.76	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.45	4.82	Watch
	1.75	3.34	4.76
	1.76	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	4.53 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
52.5%

Draw
27.3%

Hércules
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Hércules aligns with the current prediction.

Ceuta - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 4. Caparros A. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 19. Jamelli 8. Zalazar K. 3. Youness 20. Escudero A. 22. Kone K. 11. Aquino D.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S. 4. Montoro A. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 21. Retu 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 19. Mangada C. 18. Soldevila O. 8. Artiles J. 10. Espinosa N. 9. Coscia A.
Substitutes
28. Aniekan B. 5. Bellotti M. 15. Guzman J. 6. Hernandez C. 12. Herranz Corral V. . Lopez B. 21. Lopez J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C. 32. Rodriguez D.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito 24. Arumi J. 29. Bojang A. 3. del Moral A. 14. Garcia M. 12. Richmond S. 23. Romera D. 20. Sotillos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Youness 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Bellotti M. ↑,
52', Coscia A. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Artiles J. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Ceuta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Hércules is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Ceuta - Antequera	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Villarreal B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ceuta - Betis B	5:1 ✺
14.02.25	Alcorcón - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.03.25	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hércules - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Hércules - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.08.24	Hércules - Ceuta	2:0

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