Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Hércules		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3.15	2.66
	2.69	3.02	2.59	Watch
	2.67	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.41)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
34%

Draw
29.9%

Real Madrid Castilla
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S. 4. Montoro A. 20. Sotillos A. 21. Retu 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 19. Mangada C. 18. Soldevila O. 8. Artiles J. 10. Espinosa N. 9. Coscia A.	25. de Luis M. (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 4. Pujol E. 22. Jimenez D. 20. Campos A. 6. Andres C. 8. Angel M. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 7. Yanez D.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito 24. Arumi J. 29. Bojang A. 3. del Moral A. 28. Galvan J. 14. Garcia M. 25. Mompean M. (G) 12. Richmond S. 23. Romera D.	11. Alonso B. 16. Antonio David 21. De Leon J. 27. Fortuny P. 2. Lorenzo 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 17. Ruiz D. 19. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Soldevila O. ⚽,
26', Mangada C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Campos A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
58', Mangada C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
59', Pujol E. 🟨,
67', Retu ↓, del Moral A. ↑,
75', Vazquez S. ↓, Alvarito ↑,
75', Coscia A. ↓, Romera D. ↑,
78', Angel M. 🟨,
79', Angel M. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
79', Pujol E. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
89', Jimenez D. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
90+2', Andres C. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
90+6', Garcia M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Hércules is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hércules - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Hércules - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.14	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	4:0
31.08.13	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
11.03.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:1
08.10.12	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	2:4

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