Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Villarreal B		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.76	3.1	2.67
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	2.59 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
34.7%

Draw
29.9%

Ceuta
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villarreal B - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Joseda 6. Perez H. 4. Espigares A. 5. Sola A. 23. Diatta A. 8. Rodri (C) 20. Ojeda T. 34. Tamarit T. 14. Etta Eyong 9. Valverde V.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 4. Caparros A. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 15. Guzman J. 20. Escudero A. 8. Zalazar K. 3. Youness 19. Jamelli 22. Kone K. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
32. Budesca D. 10. Geralnik T. 13. Gomez R. (G) 12. Kone A. 19. Quintero L. 3. Romero C. 21. Slavy 16. Val B. 17. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.	28. Aniekan B. 5. Bellotti M. 31. El Yahimdi I. 29. Guichard S. 21. Lopez J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 30. Montano A. 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Etta Eyong 🟥,
11', 0 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽,
16', Caparros A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Ojeda T. ↓, Slavy ↑,
75', Escudero A. ↓, Bellotti M. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
80', Diatta A. ↓, Val B. ↑,
80', Tamarit T. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
80', Joseda ↓, Budesca D. ↑,
81', Zalazar K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
89', Jamelli ↓, Guichard S. ↑,
89', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
90', Youness 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.25	Villarreal B - Levadia Tallinn	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.02.25	Recreativo Huelva - Villarreal B	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.25	Ceuta - Betis B	5:1 ✺
14.02.25	Alcorcón - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ceuta - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Ceuta - Villarreal B	1:1

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