Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.75
	1.77	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3.14	4.72
	1.84	3.14	4.72
	1.84	3.24	4.41
	1.82	3.05	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	3.12 ↑ (3)	4.56 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
50.3%

Draw
29.5%

Mensajero
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

30.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Villanovense - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Relu ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, Cano I. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Martin Gonzalez B. ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Villanovense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Getafe B - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Numancia - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Villanovense - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Villanovense - Mensajero	1:1
31.10.21	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:0

Villanovense - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide