Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Ceuta		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.1	4.75
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.56	3.75	4.9
	1.72	3.27	5.18
	1.71	3.52	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	3.35 ↓ (3.51)	4.81 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
53.7%

Draw
27.3%

UD San Fernando
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

16.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.11.21	Tamaraceite - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Ceuta - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Coria - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Ceuta - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWT
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.11.21	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	UD San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Villanovense - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT

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