Match Info

Date: 17 February 2020, Monday


	Châteauroux		Lens

	1	X	2
	7	3.5	1.57	Watch
	5.75	3.5	1.62
	5.75	3.35	1.65	Watch
	5.89	3.4	1.6
	6.79	3.63	1.62
	6.5	3.4	1.63
	5.95	3.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (5.04)	3.45 ↑ (3.29)	1.62 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
15%

Draw
27.1%

Lens
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

28.5%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

16%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Châteauroux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.3%	11%	70.7%

Châteauroux - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 15 - 18.3%). Lens will win (votes: 58 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 60.8% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
07.02.20	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
04.02.20	Châteauroux - Chambly	0:3 ✺
31.01.20	Ajaccio - Châteauroux	0:1 ✺
24.01.20	Châteauroux - Niort	1:1 ✺
10.01.20	Rodez - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWTW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 2
10.02.20	Lens - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
04.02.20	Lens - Troyes	1:0 ✺
31.01.20	Le Havre - Lens	0:0 ✺
25.01.20	Lens - Clermont	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Guingamp - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.09.19	Lens - Châteauroux	1:0
08.04.19	Châteauroux - Lens	0:0
03.11.18	Lens - Châteauroux	0:1
02.04.18	Lens - Châteauroux	2:1
30.10.17	Châteauroux - Lens	0:0
21.04.14	Châteauroux - Lens	1:1
23.11.13	Lens - Châteauroux	2:0

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