Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Okko Sport
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Lens

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.88
	3.95	3.7	1.9
	4.42	3.75	1.89
	8.17	4.73	1.37	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.91
	4.3	3.69	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.53)	3.81 ↑ (3.48)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
20.8%

Draw
25.5%

Lens
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Havre's form might have worsened.

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	16.4%	74.5%

Le Havre - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). Lens will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 64.5% – 87.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lens (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lens (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Le Havre (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Lens (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 7. Nego L. 14. Ndiaye R. 8. Kechta Y. 45. Soumare I. 70. Samatta A.	40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 20. Sarr M. 14. Udol M. 2. Aguilar R. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 33. Sylla F. 3. Machado D. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 38. Fofana R.
Substitutes
26. Ebonog S. 33. Gomis G. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 21. Namli Y. 25. Thiare A. 94. Toure A. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.	23. Abdulhamid S. 6. Baidoo S. 35. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 29. Guilavogui M. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 15. Ojediran H. 8. Sangare M. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Digard D.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Said W. (Pen),
25', Samatta A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Fofana R. ⚽, Said W. (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Doucoure F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Sangante A. 🟨,
59', Sylla F. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
60', Thomasson A. 🟨,
63', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
63', Ndiaye R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
73', Samatta A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
73', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
73', Fofana R. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
84', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
84', Sangante A. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
89', Said W. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.

Le Havre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.

Recently, Lens has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Toure A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Satriano M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Le Havre - Angers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lens - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lens - Roma	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Lens	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Lens - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.03.25	Lens - Le Havre	3:4
12.01.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2
06.04.24	Lens - Le Havre	1:1
20.10.23	Le Havre - Lens	0:0
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lens - Le Havre	3:0
16.07.20	Lens - Le Havre	1:3
French Ligue 2
31.01.20	Le Havre - Lens	0:0

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