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Current Win Probability
Lens 66.3%
Draw 19.8%
Troyes 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.6%
22.5%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
22.5%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.8%
7.8%
8.4%
Lens - Troyes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(140 of 167 users predict this - 83.83%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.25% – 89.41%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 11).
Lens has the most likely position - 3 (14.09%), has project points - 64, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (29%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Troyes has the most likely position - 16 (8.55%), has project points - 43, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, importance41, match rating51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
Lens is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Troyes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Lens is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Lens: Buksa A.
(Broken ankle)
Farinez W.
(Knee Injury)
Louveau A.
(Injury)
Machado D.
(Red Card)
Said W.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Troyes: Azamoum K.
(Knee Injury)
Bruus A.
(Injury)
Salmier Y.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Troyes: Conte A.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Lens to win the game is with odds 1.46.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Lens won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.
Australia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Czech-republic
France
Greece
Hungary
Poland
Serbia
Turkey
United-kingdom
World
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