Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Lens		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.38	5	8
	1.36	4.9	8.7	Watch
	1.36	5.19	9.53
	1.36	5.19	9.54
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.4	5.4	8.75	Watch
	1.36	5.1	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	5.07 ↑ (4.44)	8.93 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
70.3%

Draw
18.9%

Clermont
10.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	17.1%	14.3%

Lens - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Clermont will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 23. El Aynaoui N. 26. Mendy N. 3. Machado D. 7. Sotoca F. 11. Fulgini A. 9. Wahi E.	99. Diaw M. (G) 4. Matsima C. 17. Pelmard A. 5. Caufriez M. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 6. Keita H. 25. Gastien J. 3. Neto Borges 10. Muhammed Cham 26. Virginius A. 18. Rashani E.
Substitutes
6. Abdul Samed S. 18. Diouf A. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 10. Pereira da Costa D. 32. Sishuba A. 28. Thomasson A.	22. Armougom Y. 91. Bela J. 8. Boutobba B. 97. Jacquet J. 95. Kyei G. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 23. Nicholson S. 21. Ogier F. 2. Zeffane M.
Coaches
Haise F.	Gastien P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sotoca F. (Pen),
18', Gastien J. 🟨,
40', Rashani E. 🟨,
45', Keita H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Machado D. 🟨,
62', Virginius A. ↓, Kyei G. ↑,
63', Keita H. ↓, Bela J. ↑,
77', Fulgini A. ↓, Pereira da Costa D. ↑,
79', Magnin Y. 🟨,
85', Machado D. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
86', Muhammed Cham ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
89', Wahi E. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 5.

Lens is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Clermont could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lens is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Abdul Samed S. (Ankle Injury) Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Allevinah J. (Injury) Berkani S. (Injury) Caufriez M. (Suspended) Gonalons M. (Injury) Konate C. O. (Injury) Mabrouk A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lens won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
12.04.24	Metz - Lens	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Lille - Lens	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Lens - Nice	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Lens - Brest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLLW
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
14.04.24	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Clermont	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Clermont - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Clermont - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Metz - Clermont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.11.23	Clermont - Lens	0:3
12.03.23	Clermont - Lens	0:4
12.11.22	Lens - Clermont	2:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Lens - Clermont	3:1
French Ligue 1
19.03.22	Lens - Clermont	3:1
01.12.21	Clermont - Lens	2:2
French Ligue 2
25.01.20	Lens - Clermont	1:1

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