Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.79	2.75	6.25	Watch
	1.9	2.7	5
	1.82	2.78	5.3	Watch
	1.84	2.86	6.98
	1.92	2.59	6.38	Watch
	1.85	2.7	5
	1.76	2.89	6.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.05)	2.75 ↑ (2.49)	5.92 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
50.5%

Draw
33.8%

Club Almagro
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

37.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia y Tiro: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Gimnasia y Tiro (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia y Tiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papaleo J. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Montoya L. 5. Montoya W. 8. Rojas F. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Contin N. 11. Gordillo L.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 7. Palacio P. 4. Cortave M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Busto L. 3. Silcan E. 8. Marchioni J. 5. Ubeda S. 11. Martinez E. 10. Bustamante F. 9. Benegas M.
Substitutes
18. Banega T. 20. Birge M. 15. Capano J. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Galetto J. 13. Oviedo J. C. 17. Rocca J. 19. Sivetti F. 16. Villarreal R.	13. Barbieri G. 17. Bustos J. 20. Canale T. 15. Fernandes J. 18. Lopez T. 16. Macies T. 19. Orlando J. 14. Tolosa N. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Papaleo J. ↓, Cosentino F. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. ⚽, Aguirre J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palacio P. ↓, Macies T. ↑,
46', Martinez E. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
59', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
60', Busto L. 🟨,
61', Cortave M. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Gordillo L. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Marchioni J. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
73', Contin N. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
76', Macies T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTW
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club Almagro - Güemes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Club Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	1:0
22.02.25	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1
19.10.24	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:3
02.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	1:1

Upcoming Matches