Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Guangxi Hengchen		Changchun Xidu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.55	5.9
	1.56	3.55	6.28	Watch
	1.38	3.92	8.35
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	6.41 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
60.7%

Draw
25%

Changchun Xidu
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Shen Bokai (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 28. Wang Haozhi (C) 56. Ji X. 25. Ren K. 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo	23. Hu H. (C) 17. Erkin Ababekri 5. Wang Zihao 14. Li Zhen 36. Zhao Ran 10. Murat Bebet 9. Qin Wanzhun 30. Ma Bokang 33. Li Xin 13. Cheng Changcheng 46. Wang Shengbo
Substitutes
19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 52. Chen G. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 4. Fang Zhengyang 7. Gao Yixuan 23. Guo Z. 58. Huang Y. 16. Ning W. 21. Ren Wei 8. Wang H. 29. Yao Zixuan	4. Erlan Ghulaht 29. He Youzu 22. Huang Wenzhuo 8. Kadir Aysan 1. Liu Y. (G) 19. Lu Hongda 49. Memet Nuryasin 57. Miao Jiawei 7. Musajan Musajan 45. Nurlan Nurzat 24. Wang Junhao 20. Xu Zhaoji
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Li Bin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ren K. (A),
32', Ji X. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Wang Haozhi ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Ren K. ⚽,
67', Murat Bebet ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
67', Zhao Ran ↓, He Youzu ↑,
70', Ji Tianle ↓, Chen D. ↑,
70', Ji X. ↓, Chen G. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Ren K. ⚽,
75', Li S. 🟨,
77', Li Xin ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
77', Ma Bokang ↓, Wang Junhao ↑,
79', Ren K. ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
80', 4 - 1, He Youzu ⚽,
88', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
90+1', Wang Haozhi ↓, Guo Z. ↑,

Preview

Guangxi Hengchen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Changchun Xidu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the clear favorite.

We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
30.08.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan B	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen	3:4 ✺
03.08.25	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
27.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Wuxi Wugou - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTTT

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