Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Xidu		Chengdu Rongcheng B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	2.78	2.45
	2.96	2.91	2.52
	3.20	2.91	2.35	Watch
	2.94	3.07	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.36)	2.92 ↓ (3.12)	2.43 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
30.7%

Draw
31.5%

Chengdu Rongcheng B
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.

Chengdu Rongcheng B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chengdu Rongcheng B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 14. Li Zhen 5. Wang Zihao (C) 8. Kadir Aysan 16. Sun Fei 30. Ma Bokang 10. Murat Bebet 9. Qin Wanzhun 36. Zhao Ran 49. Memet Nuryasin 29. He Youzu	55. Peng Haochen (C) 56. Wang Yueheng 44. Liu Zhetao 8. Zhou Yunyi 4. Dai W. 53. Chen Siliang 7. Cao Pinpai 37. Wang Junqiang 52. Shuai Weihao 28. Yu Yanfeng 11. Cao Jinlong
Substitutes
13. Cheng Changcheng 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Erlan Ghulaht 22. Huang Wenzhuo 1. Liu Y. (G) 33. Li Xin 19. Lu Hongda 7. Musajan Musajan 45. Nurlan Nurzat 24. Wang Junhao 46. Wang Shengbo 20. Xu Zhaoji	24. Bi Qilin 50. Chen Diya 51. Li Ke 29. Liu Guangwu 43. Li Zhijun 17. Luo Yuxi 3. Ren Jian 23. Wang Yuyang 46. Wang Zijie (G) 42. Xiong J. 47. Zhang Ziwei 6. Zhou Yuzhuo
Coaches
Li Bin	Xu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Chen Siliang 🟨,
16', Shuai Weihao ↓, Luo Yuxi ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Murat Bebet (Pen),
45+3', Qin Wanzhun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Cao Pinpai ↓, Li Ke ↑,
59', Yu Yanfeng ↓, Liu Guangwu ↑,
59', Cao Jinlong ↓, Bi Qilin ↑,
62', He Youzu ↓, Li Xin ↑,
62', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,
66', Memet Nuryasin 🟨,
67', Murat Bebet 🟨,
69', Kadir Aysan 🟨,
70', Wang Junqiang ↓, Li Zhijun ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Li Ke ⚽,
72', Wang Zihao 🟨,
72', Dai W. 🟨,
73', Bi Qilin 🟨,
74', Ma Bokang ↓, Wang Junhao ↑,
74', Zhao Ran ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
88', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,

Preview

Changchun Xidu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTT
- Chengdu Rongcheng B
Chinese Yi League
13.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Wuxi Wugou	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Shandong Taishan B - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng B	4:1 ✺
27.07.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Wenzhou Professional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLW

Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide