Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday


	Changwon City		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.75	3.05	4.7
	1.83	3.26	4.71
	1.74	3.2	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)	4.64 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
51%

Draw
29.4%

Cheonan City
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

33.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changwon City's performance.

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheonan City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Changwon City - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Changwon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Changwon won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cheonan City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Changwon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Changwon won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Changwon won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
15.07.22	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
08.07.22	Mokpo City - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
02.07.22	Paju Frontier - Changwon City	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Gimhae - Changwon City	0:2 ✺
17.06.22	Changwon City - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWT
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K3 League
06.08.22	Gimhae - Cheonan City	0:2 ✺
17.07.22	Hwaseong - Cheonan City	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Cheonan City - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Cheonan City - Cheongju	4:0 ✺
26.06.22	Cheonan City - Yangju Citizen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
17.04.22	Cheonan City - Changwon City	1:2
29.10.21	Changwon City - Cheonan City	1:1
09.06.21	Cheonan City - Changwon City	0:1
23.05.20	Changwon City - Cheonan City	3:3
South Korean National League
10.08.19	Cheonan City - Changwon City	3:0
08.05.19	Changwon City - Cheonan City	2:1
05.09.18	Changwon City - Cheonan City	2:1

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