Match Info

K3 League - Round 13

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Gangneung		Changwon City

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.28	Watch
	3.11	3.25	2.32
	3.09	2.94	2.37	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	3.05	2.99	2.28	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
30.4%

Draw
30.1%

Changwon City
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

30.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Gangneung - Changwon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangneung won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
23.05.26	Yangpyeong - Gangneung	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Siheung - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLWL
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pocheon - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Changwon City - Siheung	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
13.09.25	Changwon City - Gangneung	2:1
18.05.25	Gangneung - Changwon City	1:0
05.10.24	Gangneung - Changwon City	1:0
09.06.24	Changwon City - Gangneung	2:1
14.07.23	Changwon City - Gangneung	1:2
02.04.23	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1
23.09.22	Changwon City - Gangneung	2:0

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