Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 9

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)


	Chapecoense		Atlético Catarinense

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.5	14
	1.12	6.4	16
	1.17	5.78	23.44
	1.15	6.5	16.25
	1.18	5.6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.32)	5.96 ↑ (4.4)	16.74 ↑ (9.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
79.1%

Draw
15.4%

Atlético Catarinense
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.7%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

18.9%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Chapecoense - Atlético Catarinense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). A Catarinense will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Catarinense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Catarinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chapecoense is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Copa do Brasil
21.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
18.02.23	Joinville - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Chapecoense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
09.02.23	Chapecoense - Camboriú	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Concórdia - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWT
- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Concórdia - Atlético Catarinense	3:0 ✺
09.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Joinville	0:4 ✺
05.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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