Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)


	Chapecoense		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	4.33
	1.67	3.45	4.50
	1.79	3.45	4.59
	1.64	3.78	5.11	Watch
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.66	3.61	5.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	4.72 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
54.8%

Draw
25.8%

Avaí
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Chapecoense - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 11. Bolasie Y. 91. Bruno Pacheco 27. Camilo Reijers 97. Enio 26. Everton 10. Giovanni Augusto 4. Joao Paulo 18. Neto Pessoa 99. Rafael Carvalheira 15. Rafael Thyere	41. Leo Aragao (G) 14. Daniel Penha 15. Guilherme Aquino 10. Jean Lucas 50. Joao Maistro 8. Luiz Henrique (C) 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 57. Walace Franca 2. Wallison 52. Wesley Gasolina
Substitutes
37. Clar W. 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 5. Joao Vitor 7. Marcinho 2. Marcos Vinicius 1. Rafael Santos (G) 94. Ramirez K. 70. Rubens Ricoldi 17. Vinicius Balieiro 35. Vinicius Eduardo 38. Wermeson	36. DG 4. Gabriel Simples 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 90. Kevin 21. Otavio Passos (G) 66. Quaresma 7. Rafael Bilu 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Sorriso 95. Wenderson 77. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Cauan de Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽,
25', Joao Paulo 🟨,
45+2', Wallison 🟨,
45+3', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Enio ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
55', Thayllon ↓, Wenderson ↑,
62', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
72', Bolasie Y. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
72', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
74', Luiz Henrique ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
75', Wallison 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽,
78', Wesley Gasolina ↓, Gabriel Simples ↑,
79', Jean Lucas ↓, DG ↑,
82', Everton ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
82', Walace Franca 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Bruno Pacheco ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Neto Pessoa (Penalty Awarded),
1, Daniel Penha (Penalty Awarded),
2, Jean Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
2, DG (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rubens Ricoldi (Penalty Awarded),
3, Paulo Vitor (Penalty Awarded),
4, Camilo Reijers (Penalty Awarded),
4, Walace Franca (Penalty Awarded),
5, Marcinho (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.

Chapecoense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avaí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of away games.

Recently, Avaí has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chapecoense is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW
- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.26	Avaí - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Volta Redonda - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.01.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:1
24.05.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1
15.03.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:2

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