Match Info

BRAZIL: CATARINENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)


	Chapecoense		Internacional de Lages

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.5	4	5.5	Watch
	1.45	3.75	5.09
	1.53	3.72	5.98
	1.53	3.95	5.83
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)	3.85 ↑ (3.1)	5.58 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
60.3%

Draw
23.5%

Internacional de Lages
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

29.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

30.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.

Internacional de Lages has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Lages than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chapecoense - Internacional de Lages Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 5. Auremir (C) 13. Bruno Leonardo 3. Eduardo Doma 35. Foguinho 2. Mailton 6. Mancha 79. Marcelinho 7. Marcinho 9. Pedro Perotti 30. Thomas Bedinelli	23. Cesar Tanaka (G) 11. Baianinho 5. Bruno Sena (C) 4. Caio Sena 10. Danilo Pires 8. Favero 6. Gabriel Costa 7. Marcelinho 3. Rangel D. 20. Venicius 14. Vitinho Ramos
Substitutes
22. Bruno Vinicius 20. Caca 19. Eduardo 28. Habraao 23. Kelvyn 12. Leo Vieira (G) 8. Marlone 99. Rafael Carvalheira 18. Robinho 31. Tarik 11. Tiago Alves	17. Anderson Carvalho 18. Biel 15. Calebe Costa 22. Julinho 21. Lima A. 19. Matheus Campos 16. Renilson 1. Rodrigo Josviaki (G) 9. Wesley

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 3.

Chapecoense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Inter de Lages is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
10.02.24	Chapecoense - Joinville	2:3 ✺
07.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Chapecoense - Concórdia	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Internacional de Lages
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.02.24	Brusque - Internacional de Lages	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Internacional de Lages - Nação	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Hercílio Luz - Internacional de Lages	3:3 ✺
31.01.24	Internacional de Lages - Avaí	2:3 ✺
24.01.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Internacional de Lages	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.18	Internacional de Lages - Chapecoense	0:0
21.01.18	Chapecoense - Internacional de Lages	2:0
11.03.17	Internacional de Lages - Chapecoense	0:0
29.01.17	Chapecoense - Internacional de Lages	2:1
06.03.16	Internacional de Lages - Chapecoense	1:2
30.01.16	Chapecoense - Internacional de Lages	2:1
12.04.15	Internacional de Lages - Chapecoense	2:1

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