The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino 62.3%
Draw 22.5%
Chapecoense 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
21.1%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
77.4%
17.6%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68%
16%
16%
Red Bull Bragantino - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 49.7% – 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Bragantino has the most likely position - 4 (17.14%), has project points - 61, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Chapecoense has the most likely position - 20 (78.04%), has project points - 26, has currently - 7, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bragantino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chapecoense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chapecoense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bragantino is certain favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Bragantino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Watch
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