Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	23:30	Laola1
Brazil	18:30	TV Record
Germany	23:30	Laola1
Usa	17:30	SportsEngine Play


	Chapecoense		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.91	Watch
	3.70	3.30	2.05
	3.7	3.2	2.02	Watch
	4.09	3.33	2.09
	3.7	3.22	2.14	Watch
	4.1	3.25	2.02
	4	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.45)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
24.1%

Draw
29.2%

São Paulo
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

27.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Chapecoense - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 5. Heitor 21. Kauan 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 91. Bruno Pacheco 88. Yago Felipe 27. Camilo Reijers 10. Giovanni Augusto 77. Borrero D. 9. Tulio 7. Marcinho	23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 22. Duarte D. 35. Sabino 12. Iago Borduchi 37. Artur 29. Pablo Maia 94. Danielzinho 80. Cauly 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
Substitutes
16. Bruno Matias 80. Carvalho M. 19. David Antunes 97. Enio 26. Everton 12. Fernando 30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 31. Mauricio Garcez 18. Neto Pessoa 15. Rafael Thyere 29. Rossi F. 70. Rubens Ricoldi	17. Andre Silva 20. Buta 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 48. Djhordney 34. dos Santos P. 11. Ferreira 54. Luis Osorio 8. Marcos Antonio 28. Newton 46. Pedro Ferreira 43. Santana G. 18. Wendell
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Bruno Pacheco ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
31', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Santana G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Danielzinho ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
58', Borrero D. ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
62', Marcinho 🟨,
65', Heitor ↓, Everton ↑,
65', Lucas Ramon ↓, Newton ↑,
66', Pablo Maia ↓, Ferreira ↑,
72', Luciano 🟨,
74', Yago Felipe 🟨,
74', Yago Felipe ↓, Fernando ↑,
74', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
74', Tulio ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
76', Cauly ↓, Pedro Ferreira ↑,
88', Camilo Reijers 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.

Chapecoense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

São Paulo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bolasie Y. (Injury) Bruno Tubarao (Inactive) Joao Paulo (Health problems) Mauricio Garcez (Thigh Injury) Rafael Carvalheira (Knee Injury) Robert Conceicao (Knee Injury) Victor Caetano (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in São Paulo: Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lucca Marques (Jaw injury) Toloi R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Max Alves (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	1	43
20	Chapecoense-SC	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Last Results with these Odds

Chapecoense - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.98%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Chapecoense - Bahia	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Coritiba - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Chapecoense - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.26	Santos - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLLTT
- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	São Paulo - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	São Paulo - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Bolívar - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
12.03.26	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0
03.10.21	Chapecoense - São Paulo	1:1
16.06.21	São Paulo - Chapecoense	1:1
02.11.19	Chapecoense - São Paulo	0:3
22.07.19	São Paulo - Chapecoense	4:0
02.12.18	Chapecoense - São Paulo	1:0
19.08.18	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0

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