Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Vila Belmiro (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santos		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.25	8.50
	1.37	4.45	8.3	Watch
	1.38	5.13	9.6
	1.39	4.95	7.85	Watch
	1.32	4.7	10
	1.39	4.92	9.27	Watch
	1.37	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	4.92 ↑ (4.32)	8.8 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
69.9%

Draw
19.3%

Chapecoense
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Santos (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo 26. Joao Ananias 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 8. Gabriel Bontempo 32. Rollheiser B. 10. Neymar (C) 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa	30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 20. Bruno Tubarao 33. Bruno Leonardo 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 94. Ramirez K. 12. Fernando 97. Enio 19. David Antunes 27. Camilo Reijers 22. Max Alves 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
17. Caballero G. 98. Frias A. 25. Gabriel Menino 34. Joao Paulo (G) 5. Joao Schmidt 14. Luan Peres 30. Miguelito 28. Oliva C. 81. Pierri S. 7. Robinho Jr. 11. Rony 16. Thaciano	16. Bruno Matias 91. Bruno Pacheco 26. Everton 10. Giovanni Augusto 50. Kassio 21. Kauan 7. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa 1. Rafael Santos (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 17. Vinicius Balieiro
Coaches
Cuca	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Neymar ⚽, Barreal A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', David Antunes ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
46', Enio ↓, Giovanni Augusto ↑,
46', Ramirez K. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
54', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Joao Ananias (Own goal),
63', Rollheiser B. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
63', Willian Arao ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
63', Igor Vinicius ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
68', Lucas Verissimo 🟨,
73', Matheus Aurelio 🟨,
76', Neymar 🟨,
76', Bruno Tubarao 🟨,
77', Barreal A. 🟨,
80', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
80', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Rony ↑,
80', Fernando ↓, Bruno Pacheco ↑,
83', Camilo Reijers ↓, Vinicius Balieiro ↑,
88', Bruno Matias 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Neymar (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3.

In recent matches, Chapecoense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santos is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santos won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 1.9:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45:43	2	42
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Last Results with these Odds

Santos - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Copa Sudamericana
21.07.26	Universidad Central - Santos	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Santos - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Grêmio - Santos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.26	Chapecoense - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
17.07.26	Bahia - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Grêmio - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
07.06.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	3:1 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Chapecoense - Santos	4:2
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.24	Chapecoense - Santos	3:2
01.07.24	Santos - Chapecoense	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
17.11.21	Santos - Chapecoense	2:0
01.08.21	Chapecoense - Santos	0:1
01.12.19	Santos - Chapecoense	2:0
31.08.19	Chapecoense - Santos	0:1

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