The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sint-Truidense 42.2%
Draw 27.2%
Charleroi 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
25.4%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
24.6%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sint-Truidense's form might have worsened.
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Sint Truidense - Charleroi Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 35.2% โ 92%.
16. Kokubo L. (G) 3. Hata T. 5. Taniguchi S. 26. Musliu V. 60. Vanwesemael R. 6. Yamamoto R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 13. Ito R. 10. Sebaoui I. 42. Goto K.
55. Delavallee M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 14. Pflucke P. 10. Guiagon P. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 4. Mbe Soh L. 14. Merlen R. 23. Pupe J.
27. Blum L. 56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 30. Kone M. (G) 8. Romsaas J. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Vrancken W.
Cornelis H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Camara E. 🟨,
37', Sebaoui I. 🟨,
40', Muja A. 🟥,
41', Bernier A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
56', Khalifi Y. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Titraoui Y. ⚽, Khalifi Y. (A),
67', Bernier A. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
67', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
73', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
79', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
81', Goto K. 🟨,
82', Guiagon P. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
82', Nzita M. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
84', Goto K. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Romsaas J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 1.
Sint-Truidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Charleroi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Shoulder Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
Belgium
Japan
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Kokubo L. (G) 
Musliu V. 
Vanwesemael R. 
Sissako A. 
Muja A. 
Sebaoui I. 
Van Den Kerkhof K. 
Ousou A. (C) 
Pflucke P. 
Guiagon P. 
Diouf O. 
Jukleroed S. 
Blum L. 
Szymczak F. 
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