Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Charleroi		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	2.02	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2	3.55	3.35
	2.03	3.75	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.03	3.52	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.21)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	3.5 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
46.6%

Draw
26.7%

Lech Poznań
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

18.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.3%	1.9%	30.8%

Charleroi - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 35 - 67.3%). Lech will win (votes: 16 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 54.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Lech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Charleroi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.20	Mouscron - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Charleroi - Partizan	2:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.09.20	Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
13.09.20	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.20	Lens - Charleroi	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWL
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa League
23.09.20	Apollon Limassol - Lech Poznań	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.20	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.20	Hammarby - Lech Poznań	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.20	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:3 ✺
30.08.20	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTT

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