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Current Win Probability
Greenville Triumph 52.4%
Draw 24.9%
Richmond Kickers 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
25.1%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
21%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenville Triumph that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 27. Nour M. 12. Lee E. (C) 42. Bubb Z. 14. Wu D. 33. Meek L. 18. Evans C. 11. Bouregy J. 6. Agyaakwah I. 19. Liadi A. 9. Robles R.
35. Sneddon J. (G) 44. Gallegos A. 22. Vinberg S. (C) 34. Howell B. 26. Murana M. 18. Amer A. 41. Richman A. 99. Moore D. 32. Bolduc M. 7. Johnson L. 23. Freeman T.
Substitutes
10. Akio W. 7. Boyce D. 22. Fritz K. 8. Herrera C. 13. Knight A. (G) 15. Patti A. 29. Polo B. 23. White E.
3. Anderson H. 19. Espinal D. 1. Fillion Y. (G) 9. Kirkland J. 4. Layton S. 12. O'Malley O. 11. Pannholzer T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Vinberg S. 🟨,
27', Meek L. 🟨,
43', Richman A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Evans C. ↓, White E. ↑,
46', Liadi A. ↓, Akio W. ↑,
46', Vinberg S. ↓, Layton S. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Meek L. ⚽,
52', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
53', White E. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Bubb Z. (Own goal),
60', Amer A. ↓, O'Malley O. ↑,
60', Freeman T. ↓, Espinal D. ↑,
64', Meek L. ↓, Fritz K. ↑,
71', Bouregy J. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
71', Johnson L. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
73', Murana M. 🟨,
77', Murana M. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Howell B. ⚽,
86', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
87', Anderson H. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 2.
Recent form of Greenville has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Richmond Kickers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Greenville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 24.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Torman S. (G) 
Nour M. 
Agyaakwah I. 
Robles R. 
Akio W. 
Fritz K. 
Knight A. (G) 
Espinal D. 
Fillion Y. (G) 
Layton S. 
Pannholzer T. 
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