Match Info

USL League One

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenville Triumph		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.20
	1.94	3.25	3.35
	2.10	3.37	3.41
	2.01	3.76	3.27	Watch
	1.86	3.80	3.40
	2.08	3.74	3.12	Watch
	1.99	3.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	3.27 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
45.9%

Draw
26.1%

Portland Hearts of Pine
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 20. Seagrist P. 15. Patti A. 5. Fricke B. (C) 42. Bubb Z. 22. Fritz K. 27. Nour M. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 19. Liadi A. 10. Akio W.	1. Morse H. (G) 66. Green K. 5. Lopez M. (C) 22. Evans B. 98. Kidd M. 16. Gonzalez D. 21. Georgallides K. 18. Barbosa D. 99. Drack J. 9. Camara A. 10. Wright O.
Substitutes
6. Agyaakwah I. 11. Bouregy J. 7. Boyce D. 12. Lee E. 33. Meek L. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G)	44. Faye S. 35. Huck T. 2. Jones-Riley J. 11. Kamara J. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 20. Sing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
28', 0 - 1, Camara A. ⚽, Georgallides K. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Barbosa D. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Nour M. ⚽, Bubb Z. (A),
40', 1 - 3, Georgallides K. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
45+1', Drack J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Seagrist P. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
52', 2 - 3, Nour M. ⚽,
62', Akio W. 🟨,
63', Bubb Z. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
69', Georgallides K. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
70', Akio W. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
70', Fritz K. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
78', Camara A. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
79', Barbosa D. ↓, Poon-Angeron M. ↑,
80', Green K. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
80', Meek L. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Liadi A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Greenville is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Greenville might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Corpus Christi - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLT
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
22.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
03.07.26	Naples - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
23.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph	1:1
03.09.25	Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3
16.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph	3:1

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