Match Info

USL League One

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)


	Fort Wayne		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.50	3.70
	1.75	3.45	3.90
	1.94	3.45	3.97
	1.98	3.53	3.55	Watch
	1.69	3.80	4.20
	1.93	3.74	3.54	Watch
	1.86	3.50	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.5)	3.57 ↑ (3.05)	3.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
49.9%

Draw
25.8%

Greenville Triumph
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fort Wayne's performance.

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenville Triumph might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fort Wayne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenville Triumph could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 5. Sproat R. 13. Rempel M. 21. Becher R. 18. Nieto E. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 9. Oyetunde D. 7. Ricol L.	13. Knight A. (G) 27. Nour M. 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. (C) 15. Patti A. 33. Meek L. 18. Evans C. 8. Herrera C. 11. Bouregy J. 9. Robles R. 10. Akio W.
Substitutes
10. Awoudor C. 35. Aye J. 20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 22. Hernandez A. 19. Solis J. 23. Thomas J.	6. Agyaakwah I. 42. Bubb Z. 22. Fritz K. 19. Liadi A. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E. 14. Wu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Nour M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Becher R. ⚽, Rempel M. (A),
19', Meek L. 🟨,
23', Healy T. 🟨,
34', Nieto E. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Ricol L. ⚽, Healy T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Gafar K. ⚽, Ricol L. (A),
64', Nour M. ↓, Fritz K. ↑,
64', Robles R. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
64', Herrera C. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
66', Jordan J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
66', Healy T. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
67', Ricol L. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
73', Lee E. ↓, Bubb Z. ↑,
75', Oyetunde D. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
80', Bouregy J. ↓, White E. ↑,
88', Nieto E. ↓, Aye J. ↑,
90+3', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Fort Wayne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Greenville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fort Wayne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fort Wayne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL League One
04.07.26	Fort Wayne - Spokane Velocity	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWT
- Greenville Triumph
USL Cup
11.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	New York Cosmos - Greenville Triumph	0:3 ✺
USL Cup
24.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
USL League One
20.06.26	Greenville Triumph - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL

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