Match Info

USL League One

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.18	3.5	2.72
	2.29	3.5	2.9
	2.4	3.39	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.21	3.59	2.97	Watch
	2.17	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.78 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
40.3%

Draw
26.9%

One Knoxville
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 47. Alvarez L. 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 2. Ngah F. 7. Saydee P. 10. Bakero J. 24. Amaya J. 8. Jaime C. 26. Marou S.	25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. 22. Perkins W. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. (C) 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 11. Linhares K. 7. Diene B.
Substitutes
4. Coulibaly S. 13. Guffroy M. 16. Lyons M. 21. Nare T. 11. Ortiz V. 3. Skinner J. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)	13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 10. Gill R. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 5. McLeod S. 21. Zarokostas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Marou S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Marou S. ⚽,
47', Linhares K. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
59', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
60', Perkins W. ↓, Bull ↑,
66', Goling M. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
71', Saydee P. ↓, Guffroy M. ↑,
71', Romero J. 🟨,
72', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
76', 3 - 0, Skelton J. (Own goal),
79', 3 - 1, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽, Diene B. (A),
79', Ngah F. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
79', Alvarez L. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
81', Brown J. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
86', Conway E. 🟨,
87', Jaime C. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
87', Bakero J. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Charleston Battery - Charlotte Independence	2:3 penalties ✺
USL League One
05.07.26	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWT
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
18.04.26	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1
02.11.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1
26.09.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:0
30.07.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:2
16.05.25	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1
07.09.24	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:1
16.03.24	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	1:2

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