Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	One Knoxville		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.30	3.50
	1.76	3.45	3.95
	2.03	3.35	3.72
	1.81	3.78	3.97	Watch
	1.77	3.65	3.95
	1.94	3.56	3.67	Watch
	1.90	3.35	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
49.3%

Draw
26.4%

Fort Wayne
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for One Knoxville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

One Knoxville - Fort Wayne Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. One Knoxville will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. One Knoxville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. (C) 5. McLeod S. 2. Tiao C. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 10. Gill R. 9. Krioutchenkov D.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 86. Armas J. 8. Garay J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 23. Thomas J. 7. Ricol L.
Substitutes
26. Brown J. 13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 27. Cook E. 11. Linhares K. 77. Rosamilia N. 21. Zarokostas S.	10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 18. Nieto E. 9. Oyetunde D. 19. Solis J. 5. Sproat R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Armas J. 🟥,
2', Krioutchenkov D. 🟨,
15', Musa J. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
30', Gill R. 🟨,
45+1', Krioutchenkov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, McLeod S. ⚽, Baker T. (A),
55', Gill R. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
56', Solis J. 🟨,
65', Tiao C. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
65', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
70', Linhares K. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Gafar K. ⚽, Healy T. (A),
76', Gafar K. ↓, Awoudor C. ↑,
76', Thomas J. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Caputo A. ⚽,
85', Baker T. ↓, Bull ↑,
86', Healy T. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
86', Rempel M. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One Knoxville is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fort Wayne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.

We predict that One Knoxville will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:4 ✺
13.06.26	One Knoxville - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- Fort Wayne FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL League One
04.07.26	Fort Wayne - Spokane Velocity	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Westchester SC - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTT

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