Match Info

USL League One

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chattanooga Red Wolves		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.23	3.10	2.88
	2.12	3.33	3.49
	2.22	3.33	3.13	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.05
	2.21	3.47	3.05	Watch
	2.16	3.10	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
42.2%

Draw
28.2%

One Knoxville
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. Wessels W. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 30. Lombardi A. 7. Hernandez O.	25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 13. Bull 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 22. Perkins W. 7. Diene B. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
24. Apolinar R. 19. Donoho N. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 23. Lelin Y. 9. Mercer G. 36. Plaza-Soto A. 17. Tapia O. 45. Torres Aguayo T.	32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 11. Linhares K. 5. McLeod S. 2. Tiao C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Perkins W. 🟨,
32', Diene B. 🟨,
36', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perkins W. ↓, Tiao C. ↑,
52', Kinzner E. 🟨,
65', Lombardi A. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
65', Ayimbila J. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
66', Wessels W. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
73', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
73', Diene B. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Ramos J. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
82', Bull ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
82', Baker T. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
85', Hernandez O. ↓, Donoho N. ↑,
85', Ramos J. ↓, Apolinar R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 2.

Chattanooga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

One Knoxville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chattanooga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
18.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:4 ✺
15.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	San Antonio - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL League One
04.07.26	Corpus Christi - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties
USL League One
01.10.25	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0
USL Cup
26.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0
USL League One
05.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0
05.10.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:1
16.08.24	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:1
USL Cup
20.07.24	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties

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