The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
One Knoxville 61%
Draw 24%
AV Alta 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
24.7%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
23.2%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in One Knoxville's performance.
AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AV Alta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AV Alta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
One Knoxville - AV Alta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 3. McRobb F. 26. Brown J. 5. McLeod S. 2. Tiao C. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 21. Zarokostas S. 11. Linhares K.
22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. 11. Aoumaich I. 99. Bahena Jr C. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 10. Gill R. 22. Perkins W. 77. Rosamilia N. 4. Skelton J.
30. Gonzalez M. (G) 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 2. Ortiz C. 52. Ramos S. 23. Thomas R. 15. Winum M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Baker T. ⚽, Murphy Jr. J. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Bahena Jr C. ⚽, Aoumaich A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Relerford N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
64', Zarokostas S. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Desdunes J. ⚽,
71', Baker T. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
71', Linhares K. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Aoumaich A. ⚽, Aoumaich I. (A),
76', Aoumaich A. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
76', Aoumaich I. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
81', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Winum M. ↑,
81', Desdunes J. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
84', Tiao C. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
84', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Bull ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Rosamilia N. ⚽, Gill R. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
One Knoxville has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Alta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, One Knoxville is a strong favorite.
We predict that One Knoxville will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Garibay J. (G) 
McRobb F. 
Brown J. 
Tiao C. 
Baker T. 
Caputo A. 
Murphy Jr. J. 
Goling M. 
Zarokostas S. 
Smith D. (G) 
Pehlivanov K. 
Lay O. 
Aoumaich I. 
Desdunes J. 
Bull 
Winum M. 
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