Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Charlotte Independence		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.67
	3.75	3.75	1.7
	3.8	3.5	1.78
	4.17	3.8	1.82
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.1	3.72	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.86)	3.7 ↑ (3.43)	1.75 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
23.1%

Draw
24.7%

Phoenix Rising
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.8%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Charlotte Independence - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Charlotte Ind will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix Rising: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Phoenix Rising has the most likely position - 1 (82.44%), has project points - 67, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (76%), has a good chance of semis (53%), has a chance of final (36%), has a chance of win league (23%).

Charlotte Independence is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Phoenix Rising is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Charlotte Independence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Phoenix Rising is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
07.07.21	Charlotte Independence - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
03.07.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
23.06.21	Charlotte Independence - Charleston Battery	3:0 ✺
16.06.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Charlotte Independence	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
03.07.21	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:0 ✺
26.06.21	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
19.06.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
12.06.21	Phoenix Rising - Tacoma Defiance	3:0 ✺
05.06.21	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWT

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