The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Republic 50.3%
Draw 25.7%
Phoenix Rising 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
26.7%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
26%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix Rising (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 21. Leibold T. 24. Casas J. 27. Crisostomo D. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 16. Wolff T.
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. 24. Pelayo A. 87. Flores D. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 12. Dennis C. 8. Gomez D. 7. Sacko I. 23. Badji D.
Substitutes
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 26. Jennings C. 6. Kleemann F. 19. Midence A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R.
20. Biasi L. 5. Czichos R. 14. Odunze C. (G) 19. Rivera D. 37. Rivera G. 48. Schmitt T. 11. Studenhofft G.
Coaches
Collins N.
Kah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Wolff T. ⚽, Malango M. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Crisostomo D. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Sacko I. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dennis C. ↓, Biasi L. ↑,
48', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
54', Malango M. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
64', Gomez D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
64', Pelayo A. ↓, Czichos R. ↑,
72', Wolff T. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
72', Crisostomo D. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Smith C. 🟨,
76', Smith C. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
83', Flores D. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Sacko I. ⚽, Schmitt T. (A),
90+1', Casas J. ↓, Essel A. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
90+6', Biasi L. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
Sacramento Republic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Phoenix Rising may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
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Vitiello D. (G) 
Gurr J. 
Desmond L. (C) 
Leibold T. 
Casas J. 
Malango M. 
Mar Boye P. 
Pelayo A. 
Moursou J. 
Sacko I. 
Edwards K. 
Essel A. 
Midence A. 
Rivera D. 
Studenhofft G. 
Collins N. 
Kah P. 
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