Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	San Diego Loyal		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.97	3.88	3.49
	1.94	3.88	3.49
	1.87	3.72	3.35	Watch
	1.97	3.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.76 ↑ (3.18)	3.37 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
48%

Draw
24.6%

Phoenix Rising
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 4. Guzman C. 5. Stoneman G. 13. Riley C. 14. Perez A. 7. Bodily B. 15. Corona J. 6. Adams C. (C) 17. Martin C. 9. Conway E. 8. Damus R.	1. Rios R. (G) 5. Traore M. 3. Stenberg J. 30. Fuenmayor A. 2. King D. (C) 23. Munjoma E. 21. Armenakas P. 67. Harvey C. 8. Hernandez J. 17. Trejo D. 29. Formella D.
Substitutes
23. Chilaka M. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 10. Guido A. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N. 11. Moshobane T.	9. Arteaga M. 14. Cuello E. 7. Gallardo E. 4. Krutzen D. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 15. Uzochokwu H. 26. Zambrano R.
Coaches
MIller N.	Guerra J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 3.

San Diego Loyal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Phoenix Rising is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Diego Loyal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
14.10.23	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
04.10.23	El Paso Locomotive - San Diego Loyal	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWT
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
14.10.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.04.23	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0
17.09.22	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0
26.03.22	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:3
24.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	0:1
19.06.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	2:1
05.06.21	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2

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