Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.42	3.35	2.48
	2.54	3.54	2.52
	2.43	3.45	2.67	Watch
	2.44	3.4	2.47
	2.46	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.4)	3.42 ↑ (3.21)	2.51 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
37.1%

Draw
26.6%

Spokane Velocity
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Knight A. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 20. Adewole T. 13. Sorenson A. 80. Jaime C. 6. Ciss O. 15. Jauregui R. 9. Bakero J. 21. Moshobane T. 99. Chaney C.	23. Merancio C. (G) 17. John-Brown S. 13. Opara L. 3. Crisler J. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 10. Gil L. (C) 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 8. Vinyals N. 9. Brett N.
Substitutes
14. Alcocer P. 47. Arango M. 22. Faye D. 10. Gray N. 28. Levy M. (G) 26. Marou S. 16. Mbuyu T. 8. Moreno J. 2. Ngah F.	7. Akale M. 1. Bilichuk R. (G) 19. Denton J. 2. Gil J. 42. Meredith B. 16. Pelaez A. 11. Reedy P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Miller C. 🟨,
34', Miller C. 🟨,
45', Sorenson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vinyals N. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
46', Lewis A. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
46', Gil L. ↓, Reedy P. ↑,
63', Jauregui R. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
63', Jaime C. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
73', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
74', Ciss O. 🟨,
76', Moshobane T. 🟨,
79', Moshobane T. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
86', Spielman N. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Reedy P. ⚽, John-Brown S. (A),
90+3', Adewole T. 🟨,
90+5', Chaney C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Charlotte Ind has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spokane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
26.09.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Charlotte Independence - Naples	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
27.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Texoma - Spokane Velocity	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	1:1
27.07.24	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	2:4
28.03.24	Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity	2:1

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