Match Info

USL League One

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.40	3.25
	1.93	3.35	3.35
	1.94	3.52	3.80
	2.04	3.6	3.32	Watch
	1.89	3.40	3.75
	2.05	3.67	3.25
	1.95	3.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
46.8%

Draw
26.5%

Spokane Velocity
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 6. Guediri S. 28. Caceres E. 8. Gabriel Cabral 7. Billhardt A. 16. Wootton L. 21. Gomez A. 9. Botello Faz P.	1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 20. Covi I. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 19. Denton J. 6. Fernandez C. (C) 11. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 17. Alexandre M. 16. Pelaez A.
Substitutes
17. Gutierrez D. 99. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 25. Klein T. 19. Lawrence C. 20. Ors Navarro S. 5. Orson J.	24. Donovan N. 10. Gil L. 14. Hernandez M. 33. Mensah M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 3. Spielman N. 8. Vinyals N.
Coaches
Candela V.	Veidman L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Wootton L. ⚽, Billhardt A. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Boudadi Y. (A),
33', Alexandre M. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
41', Covi I. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fernandez C. ↓, Spielman N. ↑,
53', Veidman L. 🟨,
62', Caceres E. 🟨,
62', Gomez A. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
62', Pelaez A. ↓, Donovan N. ↑,
62', Billhardt A. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
66', Wootton L. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Spielman N. ⚽, Waldeck D. (A),
76', Wootton L. ↓, Klein T. ↑,
76', Denton J. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
76', Guediri S. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
76', Waldeck D. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
78', Spielman N. 🟨,
84', Caceres E. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Gabriel Cabral ⚽, Ors Navarro S. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Union Omaha might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
12.09.26	Corpus Christi - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Omaha - New York Cosmos	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Union Omaha - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLT
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
05.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Westchester SC - Spokane Velocity	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Corpus Christi	2:3 ✺
USL Cup
12.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
15.03.26	Spokane Velocity - Union Omaha	1:0
25.10.25	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	2:2
17.09.25	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	2:2
02.08.25	Spokane Velocity - Union Omaha	2:1
17.11.24	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:0
02.10.24	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	4:0
04.09.24	Spokane Velocity - Union Omaha	2:1

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