Match Info

USL League One

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Texoma		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.6	1.68
	4.68	3.89	1.62
	4.23	3.40	1.83	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.69	Watch
	3.47	3.29	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.8)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
21.6%

Draw
25.5%

Spokane Velocity
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-1%)

Texoma - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 12. Chavez J. 5. Calfo A. 24. Jordan J. 23. Baker T. 3. Ramos O. 8. McCormick L. 10. Spengler P. 30. Jawneh L. 7. McManus B.	23. Merancio C. (G) 13. Opara L. 4. Garcia D. 3. Crisler J. 18. Waldeck D. 17. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 15. Jome I. 10. Gil L. (C) 9. Brett N.
Substitutes
28. Cristales L. 14. Flowers A. 6. Gray L. 25. Iamarino D. 16. Mason D. 1. McCready M. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D. 2. Valentine R.	7. Akale M. 1. Bilichuk R. (G) 2. Gil J. 14. Hernandez M. 42. Meredith B. 12. Miller C. 8. Vinyals N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, McManus B. ⚽, McCormick L. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Brett N. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
30', Spengler P. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Spengler P. ⚽, Jawneh L. (A),
38', Calfo A. 🟨,
41', Waldeck D. 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Gil L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 2, McManus B. ⚽,
57', Fernandez C. 🟨,
61', Jawneh L. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
61', McManus B. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
63', Fernandez C. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
64', John-Brown S. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
65', 3 - 3, Crisler J. ⚽, Gil L. (A),
75', Jordan J. ↓, Flowers A. ↑,
75', Jome I. ↓, Gil J. ↑,
75', Gil L. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
90+6', Baker T. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Texoma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spokane is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Texoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spokane is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
06.09.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	5:0 ✺
27.08.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Greenville Triumph - Texoma	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Texoma - AV Alta	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWTL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
07.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
21.08.25	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Spokane Velocity - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Spokane Velocity - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.07.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	1:1
13.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	4:1

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